While I agree about not adhering blindly to dogmatic rules, does the "lock stealing" scenario seem so eccentric to you? A thread could indeed acquire the lock on your object "externally"(synchronized(theObject) {...}), blocking other threads waiting on synchronized instance methods.
If you don't believe in malicious code, consider that this code could come from third parties (for instance if you develop some sort of application server).
The "accidental" version seems less likely, but as they say, "make something idiot-proof and someone will invent a better idiot".
So I agree with the it-depends-on-what-the-class-does school of thought.