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Prediction Markets

Arizona's Crackdown On Kalshi Halted As Federal Court Sides With CFTC In Fight Over Election Betting And Prediction Markets

Arizona's Crackdown On Kalshi Halted As Federal Court Sides With CFTC In Fight Over Election Betting And Prediction Markets

Microsoft's Copilot 'Feels Like Teams:' Why This Fund Manager Is Swapping It For Claude

Microsoft's Copilot 'Feels Like Teams:' Why This Fund Manager Is Swapping It For Claude

Interactive Brokers Founder Lost $90,000 To Insider Trading But Now Wants It Legalized

Interactive Brokers Founder Lost $90,000 To Insider Trading But Now Wants It Legalized

Microsoft's Copilot 'Feels Like Teams:' Why This Fund Manager Is Swapping It For Claude

Microsoft's Copilot 'Feels Like Teams:' Why This Fund Manager Is Swapping It For Claude

Interactive Brokers Founder Lost $90,000 To Insider Trading But Now Wants It Legalized

Interactive Brokers Founder Lost $90,000 To Insider Trading But Now Wants It Legalized

Anthropic's Mythos Made Scott Bessent, Jerome Powell All Bank CEOs: But What Do Prediction Markets Say About Its IPO?

Anthropic's Mythos Made Scott Bessent, Jerome Powell All Bank CEOs: But What Do Prediction Markets Say About Its IPO?

Palantir, Anduril Execs Sound The Alarm: US Has 8 Days Of Munitions For A China War

Palantir, Anduril Execs Sound The Alarm: US Has 8 Days Of Munitions For A China War

Anthropic's Mythos Made Scott Bessent, Jerome Powell All Bank CEOs: But What Do Prediction Markets Say About Its IPO?

Anthropic's Mythos Made Scott Bessent, Jerome Powell All Bank CEOs: But What Do Prediction Markets Say About Its IPO?

Palantir, Anduril Execs Sound The Alarm: US Has 8 Days Of Munitions For A China War

Palantir, Anduril Execs Sound The Alarm: US Has 8 Days Of Munitions For A China War

White House Warns Staff Against Prediction Market Insider Trading

White House Warns Staff Against Prediction Market Insider Trading

White House Cautions Staff Against Prediction Market Betting Amid Iran War Pause

White House Cautions Staff Against Prediction Market Betting Amid Iran War Pause

Prediction Markets Recent News

Will S&P 500 Open Up Or Down On Friday?

Will S&P 500 Open Up Or Down On Friday?

The S&P 500 extended its relief rally on Thursday, rising 0.62% to close at 6,824.66, as optimism around a fragile ceasefire in the Middle East continued to support equities.

When Will US And Iran Sign A Permanent Peace Deal? Here's What Prediction Market Is Saying

When Will US And Iran Sign A Permanent Peace Deal? Here's What Prediction Market Is Saying

Coinbase's Retail Traders Haven't Left The Market, They've Moved To Kalshi, Polymarket, Analyst Says

Coinbase's Retail Traders Haven't Left The Market, They've Moved To Kalshi, Polymarket, Analyst Says

Barclays analyst Benjamin Budish downgraded Coinbase Global (NASDAQ:COIN) from Equal Weight to Underweight on April 8, cutting his price target to $140 fro

Tesla Troubles Catch The Eye Of Legendary Short-Seller James Chanos: 'Why Would Anyone Be Selling TSLA?'

Tesla Troubles Catch The Eye Of Legendary Short-Seller James Chanos: 'Why Would Anyone Be Selling TSLA?'

Tesla is reportedly developing a sub-$25K compact SUV amid mounting delivery declines, analyst downgrades, and the looming distraction of a $2 trillion SpaceX IPO.

Anthony Scaramucci Said He's Not Missing SpaceX, Even If The Valuation Is 'Off The Charts'

Anthony Scaramucci Said He's Not Missing SpaceX, Even If The Valuation Is 'Off The Charts'

Scaramucci missed Amazon's IPO. Now he owns SpaceX and says the 'off the charts' valuation doesn't matter.

AI Can Code, But It Can't Bet: Why Top Models Are Going Broke On Sports Markets

AI Can Code, But It Can't Bet: Why Top Models Are Going Broke On Sports Markets

New research shows frontier AI models can't beat a football betting market, with implications for Citrini scenario odds on Kalshi and AI bubble contracts on Polymarket.

Why Is DraftKings Stock Sliding Thursday?

Why Is DraftKings Stock Sliding Thursday?

DraftKings Inc (DKNG) stock is falling Thursday. Learn how Kalshi's $12B volume and new legal rulings are impacting traditional gaming leaders.

Federal Government Moves To Block Arizona From Criminally Prosecuting Kalshi

Federal Government Moves To Block Arizona From Criminally Prosecuting Kalshi

Federal regulators moved Wednesday to block Arizona from criminally prosecuting Kalshi before its April 13 arraignment.

Kalshi CEO Denies Trump Regulatory Influence As Prediction Market Volume Surges Past $12B

Kalshi CEO Denies Trump Regulatory Influence As Prediction Market Volume Surges Past $12B

Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour says Donald Trump Jr. has made zero regulatory asks on the platform's behalf, as monthly volume surges past $12 billion and sports contracts fall to 70% of trades.

Bitcoin ETFs Bleed $94M While Polymarket Gives 43% Chance Of Positive Flows Today

Bitcoin ETFs Bleed $94M While Polymarket Gives 43% Chance Of Positive Flows Today

U.S. spot Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) ETFs posted $94 million in net outflows on Wednesday despite Bitcoin rallying from $67,800 to $71,000 on U.S.-Iran ceasefire news.

Will S&P 500 Open Up Or Down On April 9?

Will S&P 500 Open Up Or Down On April 9?

The S&P 500 surged on Wednesday, rising 2.51% to close at 6,782.81, as markets rallied sharply following President Donald Trump's decision to pause attacks on Iran.

When Will Israel And Hezbollah Ceasefire Happen? Here's What Prediction Market Is Saying

When Will Israel And Hezbollah Ceasefire Happen? Here's What Prediction Market Is Saying

U.S. and Iran agreed to a ceasefire on Tuesday, but the agreement has been on shaky grounds as Israel continued to strike Hezbollah in Lebanon.

JD Vance Calls US-Iran Ceasefire 'Fragile:' Why It Matters For Exxon, Chevron

JD Vance Calls US-Iran Ceasefire 'Fragile:' Why It Matters For Exxon, Chevron

XOM and CVX sold off hard after the Iran ceasefire. But with Vance warning the truce is fragile and Hormuz odds below 55%, are energy stocks already oversold?