Questions tagged [probability]
A mathematical puzzle whose essential nature involves randomness. Use with [mathematics]
463 questions
14 votes
3 answers
1k views
1 vs. 3 hide and seek challenge
There are four people playing hide and seek in a 1 vs. 3 format. Three of them are hiders, and the fourth is the seeker trying to find the hiders. The game starts by the hiders choosing which zones to ...
5 votes
2 answers
594 views
Irish pub gambling
Patrick is well known to visit Dublin's famous 'The Temple Bar Pub' daily since decades. He is systematically spotted to, kindly, challenge some pub customers to gamble. Patrick has one fair die, and, ...
7 votes
1 answer
411 views
Hiding the most helpful of three numbers
(This is a follow-up to Revealing the least helpful of three numbers.) The game is like last time, but with one new step. Andrew is secretly shown three real numbers, all independently, randomly, ...
4 votes
2 answers
868 views
Sleeping Beauty's evaporating certainty
I thought of a little puzzle while contemplating the Sleeping Beauty problem. The puzzle: create a variant of the Sleeping Beauty experiment (which involves one fair coin toss) where there is a ...
0 votes
2 answers
256 views
What is the probability that at least one person draws their own name in randomized Secret Santa? [duplicate]
A group of 20 friends play "Secret Santa", and draw the name of their target randomly out of a hat. What is the probability that at least one person draws their own name? P.S. Turned out to ...
6 votes
1 answer
670 views
An odd question
On my way to and from work, there is a traffic light, where I wait anywhere between 0 and 1 minute. The waiting time is a random real number between 0 and 1 (independent and uniform). Let x be my ...
11 votes
1 answer
795 views
What is the probability that a random tetrahedron inside a sphere is intersected by the sphere's vertical axis? [closed]
A tetrahedron's vertices are independent uniformly random points in the interior of a sphere. What is the probability that the tetrahedron is intersected by the sphere's vertical axis?
36 votes
5 answers
2k views
Hat puzzle with rock, paper, scissors
Eight people are going to play a game where they work together to try to win a prize. They will all stand in a circle, and while their eyes are closed, a referee will place a hat on their head bearing ...
15 votes
1 answer
445 views
What is the limiting probability that the polygon contains the circle?
A red circle is surrounded by a chain of n congruent green circles, with each green circle touching its two neighboring green circles and the red circle. On each green circle, a random (uniform and ...
22 votes
4 answers
2k views
Which line is more likely to intersect the circle?
A green circle is tangent to a red circle and a black circle. The three circles have equal radii. Their centres are collinear and distinct. Random point A is chosen on the red circle. Random points B ...
14 votes
2 answers
2k views
A disk and a triangle: What is the probability of intersection?
An equilateral triangle has one vertex at the centre of a disk. One side of the triangle lies completely outside the disk and is colored green. A red line is drawn through two independent, uniformly ...
5 votes
1 answer
376 views
Prime and Alphabet Draws - Puzzling Stack Exchange
The first prime numbers are: 2, 3, 5, 7, 11, 13, 17, 19, 23, 31, ... At step one, you will draw 2 letters complety at random among the 26 letters of the alphabet. You might for instance draw: "A&...
44 votes
1 answer
3k views
Here is the probability, but what was the question?
While solving a problem about flipping coins, Blaise divided SPINED by STIPEND and got a probability of about 17.6%. What problem was Blaise trying to solve? (As usual in cryptarithms, the letters S, ...
17 votes
11 answers
2k views
Roulette Paradox
I have not seen the following simple paradox anywhere. Maybe most people are so smart that for them it isn't a paradox at all, but I think it is worth identifying. Is it a "puzzle"? Well, is ...
5 votes
2 answers
592 views
Fermat and Pascal play a game
Fermat and Pascal is playing a game with no tie. The final prize is €10000. A player who won 7 games first takes a prize. Fermat won 5 games, and Pascal won 3 games. Now, they can’t meet to play a ...